It is no surprise to anyone that the Bank of Canada maintained its target overnight rate at 1/2 percent today, judging that although the global economy has strengthened, uncertainty continues and is damaging business confidence and dampening investment in Canada’s major trading partners. Since the Trump victory, US interest rates have risen sharply with the…Read More
Following four consecutive months of job gains, Canadian employment increased by 11,000 (or 0.1%) in November. Economists had expected hiring to decline by 15,000 according to the Bloomberg News survey. All of the rise in employment, however, was in part-time jobs, as full-time hiring fell by 8,700. This pattern is particularly worrisome as over the…Read More
According to data released this morning by Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy bounced back strongly in the third quarter from the Alberta-wildfire contraction in Q2. The economy grew at a 3.5% (quarter-over-quarter) annual rate in Q3, in line with expectation, following the 1.3% slide in the prior period. The rebound was driven by a sharp…Read More
This morning, the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) released its national real estate statistics for October, which showed a modest uptick in home sales nationally, as new listings ticked up and home prices increased once again. For Canada as a whole, the number of homes trading on the MLS Systems increased 2.0% month-over-month in October–up…Read More
Secretary Clinton called Donald Trump to concede the election just before 3:00 AM this morning and will no doubt speak to the American people later today. A populist uprising that has very disturbing elements of racism, xenophobia, misogyny and isolationism has taken Donald Trump to the White House–a man with no experience in government or public…Read More
Canadian employment rose 44,000 (+0.2%) in October–much stronger than expected. But all of the gain was because of more part-time work, as full-time employment fell. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.0% as more people joined the labour force. Compared to one year ago, the total number of hours worked was little changed and employment…Read More
The Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) issued its quarterly housing market assessment and outlook today, suggesting that, for the first time ever, there are “problematic conditions” in housing markets at the national level in Canada (see table below for details). As well, CMHC expects national housing starts and MLS sales to decline slightly in 2017 before…Read More
It is no surprise to anyone that the Bank of Canada maintained its target overnight rate at 1/2 percent today, judging that the underlying trend in total CPI inflation will edge upward to 2 percent starting early next year. Temporary offsetting factors, such as the fall in commodity prices and the decline in the loonie…Read More
This morning, The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) released its national real estate statistics for September, which showed a modest uptick in home sales nationally, as new listings ticked up and home prices increased once again. For Canada as a whole, the number of homes trading on the MLS Systems increased 0.8% month-over-month in September…Read More
A perfect example of the unpredictable volatility in the Canadian jobs report, the September gain of 67,000 jobs was dramatically larger than economists’ expectations of roughly 7,500 new jobs. Most of the rise was in part-time work, however, and it was boosted by 50,000 additional self-employed workers, which tempers the excitement over the outsized strength…Read More
Yesterday, Ottawa unveiled major initiatives to slow housing activity both by potentially discouraging foreign home purchases and, more importantly, by making it more difficult for Canadians to get mortgages. As well, the Finance Minister is limiting the degree to which mortgage lenders can buy portfolio insurance on mortgages with downpayments of 20% or more. Ottawa…Read More
Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in July was expected to continue its rebound from May’s steep, wildfire-driven decline, but the 0.5% monthly gain was better than many analysts had expected. The key driver was higher output in the mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction sector. The rise in July followed a 0.6% increase in…Read More
In a divided decision, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to maintain the federal funds rate in its current range of 1/4 to 1/2 percent for the sixth consecutive time. There were three dissenters at this meeting. Esther George (Kansas City Fed President) was joined by Loretta Mester (Cleveland Fed President) and Eric Rosengren…Read More
This morning, The Canadian Real Estate Board (CREA) released their national real estate statistics for August, which showed a further slide in home sales as new listings resumed their decline and home prices increased once again. For Canada as a whole, the number of homes trading on the MLS Systems fell 3.1% month-over-month in August–the…Read More
The August jobs report was stronger than expected as payrolls bounced back from a significant July decline. Canada’s economy added 26,000 jobs last month (a 0.1% gain), thanks to large gains in the public sector and increased payrolls in Quebec. The rebound followed a disappointing July report where the economy shed 31,200 positions, with big…Read More
Bank of Canada Hold Overnight Rate at 0.5% The Bank of Canada’s decision to hold rates steady once again was very much as expected, even though first half growth was well below the forecast in the July Monetary Policy Report. US growth in the first half of this year was also disappointing, reflecting weakness in…Read More
U.S. Hiring Cooled in August U.S. payrolls rose by 151,000 last month, below the expectation of 180,000, while the jobless rate held steady at 4.9%. This in combination with weakness in yesterday’s Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) report for August showing a slowdown in manufacturing activity reduces the likelihood of a Fed rate hike at its…Read More
According to data released this morning by Statistics Canada, the Canadian economy declined at a 1.6% annual pace in the second quarter, the largest quarterly decline since the global financial crisis in Q2 2009. In comparison, the U.S. economy grew at a 1.1% annual rate last quarter, more sluggish than expected earlier this year. The…Read More
There has been much hand-wringing about the overheated housing markets in Vancouver and Toronto. Accelerating price gains in the past year are indicative of a buying frenzy, especially in Vancouver, which is clearly unsustainable. New listings are way down, new supply is constrained, and buyer euphoria seems to be suggestive of panic fear of missing…Read More
Another woeful jobs report in Canada for the month of July triggers further pessimism. Following three consecutive months of stagnant employment, payrolls fell by a much-worse-than-expected 31,000 in July as the unemployment rate increased 0.1 percentage point to 6.9 percent. Gloomily, all of the loss was in full-time employment, which fell by 71,000 from June…Read More
Sherry Cooper P.H.D
25th Sep 2016
DeGroote MBA Presentation – Economic Outlook – September 2016
19th Sep 2016
Western Energy Institute – Economic Outlook
10th May 2016
DeGroote School of Business – Canada in the Global Economy
Sherry Cooper P.H.D
Dr. Sherry Cooper is a sought-after speaker, writer and advisor renowned for her ability to simplify and de-mystify the complex subjects of economics and finance.
Dr. Cooper is Chief Economist of Dominion Lending Centres. Canada’s leading mortgage and leasing company with more than 2,200 members offering free expert advice across Canada. In this role, Sherry helps Canadians understand the issues surrounding their most important financial decision – buying a home.
An award-winning authority on finance and economics, Sherry is also TMX Industry Professor at DeGroote School of Business, McMaster University.
Named “the megawatt celebrity economist” by Canada’s national newspaper –and repeatedly cited as one of the most influential women in Canada, Sherry served as Chief Economist and Executive Vice-President of BMO Financial Group where she was responsible for global economic and financial forecasting as well as country-risk and industry-risk analysis. She joined BMO Financial Group in 1994 when it acquired Burns Fry, where she had been Chief Economist, Co-Head of Fixed Income and the first female director of a Bay Street investment firm.
Well-known as a media commentator, Sherry’s third book – The New Retirement: How It Will Change Our Future – was a block-buster best-seller.
Dr. Cooper has an M.A. and Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Pittsburgh. She began her career at the Federal Reserve Board in Washington, D.C. where she worked very closely with then-Chairman, Paul Volcker and subsequently joined the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) as Director of Financial Economics.
BOOKS BY DR SHERRY COOPER
The New Retirement
How It Will Change Our Future In The New Retirement, global economic strategist Sherry Cooper explains that the boomer generation will be reaching traditional retirement age very soon and that an enormous wave of boomer retirees will crest in 2025. This phenomenon will profoundly affect the labour markets, the economy, and financial markets for decades….
Ride The Wave
In Ride the Wave, Dr. Sherry Cooper, global economic stregist, regular CNBC guest, and former Fed economist, shows how yesterday’s predictable business cycles have been replaced with a spiraling, unending rollercoaster. Yes, says Cooper, we are in the early stages of an “upwave.” In 20 years, the world will be a far wealthier place. But…
The Cooper Files
Never before in history has change been so rapid or so pervasive. We are in the early stages of a technology revolution that is changing the way we communicate, live, work, play and do business. What is Canada’s role in this transforming economy? How can Canadians prepare and profit from such change? Sherry Cooper provides…