Articles

Another Weak Labour Market Report For October Employment fell again in October, continuing a stream of lacklustre labour force surveys. Canadian net employment edged downward (-4,700; 0.0%) and the employment rate fell a tick to 60.5%. Employment declined by 68,000 in September and by 42,000 in August.  The employment rate—the percentage of the population aged 15 years…

Bank of Canada Raises the Overnight Rate to 2.5%, Says More May Be Needed Today, the Bank of Canada raised the overnight rate by 25 bps to 2.5%, joining the six other G-10 central banks that have tightened monetary policy to combat inflation. The Federal Reserve hiked the fed funds rate at its last meeting…

Canadian CPI Inflation Edges Up to 3.1% in September, While Core Inflation Slowed Further Below Its 2% Target The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.1% year over year in September, up from 3.0% in August. Higher gasoline prices led the acceleration in September (+27.8%) compared with August (+22.8%). Excluding gasoline, the CPI rose 2.2%, after increasing 2.4% in…

Rising-Rate Jitters Sidelined Buyers in September, Tempering Sales For The Remainder Of This Year The number of home sales recorded over the Canadian MLS Systems fell by 2.3% m/m in September as inflation fears triggered the biggest bond selloff in years. Rising fixed mortgage rates have spooked potential buyers, even as home prices continue to…

The Very Weak September Jobs Report For Canada Will Give the BoC Second Thoughts About Hiking Rates Employment fell in September, continuing a stream of lacklustre labour force surveys. Canadian jobs fell by 68,300, wiping out all of this year’s job gains as the trade war with the U.S. drags on and the Iran war…

Weak August Jobs Report In Canada Takes BoC Tightening Off The Table–The Opposite Is Likely For Federal Reserve  Employment in Canada fell by 41,700 in August, reversing some of the labour market momentum seen in recent months as the manufacturing sector posted the only significant increase. The employment rate fell 0.1 percentage points to 60.8%. The…

Canada’s Economy Grows by 3.3% in Q2 as Q1 Was Revised Into Positive Territory Statistics Canada reported this morning that the Canadian economy grew at a whopping 3.3% pace in the second quarter, following an upwardly revised 0.3% in Q1 led by upward revisions to exports, particularly non-metallic minerals and energy products.  This wipes out…

Housing Market Activity Picked Up Again in July As New Listings Slowed and Prices Ticked Up For the First Time in Almost Two Years According to data released this morning by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the Canadian housing market continued to improve in July. Home sales increased month-over-month (m/m) by 0.5%, marking the fourth…

Canadian CPI Inflation Edges Up to 3.0% in July, While Core Inflation Remains Below Its 2% Target The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.0% y/y in July, following the June gain of 2.8%. The inflation uptick was caused by higher gasoline prices and a rise in the cost of travel tours. Slowing the faster price…

So Much For Recession Worries, The July Jobs Report For Canada Was A Blockbuster Surprisingly strong employment gains in July confirm the economy is recovering from its Q4-’25 to Q1-’26 weakness. This is consistent with the strong July GDP figures, which point to 3.8% growth in the second quarter following a -1.0% dip in Q1. …