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Canadian Inflation Rose to 3.2% in May as Core Inflation Remained Subdued Higher gasoline prices pushed Canadian inflation to a more than two-year high, while underlying inflation pressures showed little sign of accelerating, with core measures broadly unchanged and price gains less broad-based. Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.2% in May, Statistics Canada reported…

Housing Market Regains Momentum, Providing a Strong Handoff into Summer Canada’s housing market gained meaningful momentum in May, with sales posting their strongest monthly increase of the year and leading indicators pointing to further improvement in June. After months of uncertainty, the market appears to be transitioning from stabilization to recovery as lower borrowing costs,…

Bank of Canada Holds Policy Rate Steady Today, the Bank of Canada once again held the policy rate at 2.25%. This is the bottom of the Bank’s estimate of the neutral overnight rate, where monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary. With inflation hovering at 2.8% and core inflation falling to 2.0% (as of April…

So Much For Recession Worries, The May Jobs Report For Canada Was A Blockbuster Canadian employment surged 87,800 in May, the strongest reading since 2024. Today’s Labour Market Survey dispels recession concerns, but leaves the Bank of Canada open to a possible rate hike later this year or next if inflation remains troubling. The Canadian…

Canada’s Economy Edges Into A Technical Recession For the First Time Since 2020 Statistics Canada reported this morning that the Canadian economy contracted slightly, by 0.1%, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in the first quarter (Q1) of 2026. That follows a 1% contraction in the fourth quarter, a downward revision from the previously reported 0.6%…

Canadian Inflation Rose to 2.8% in April as Core Inflation Approached 2% Target. Statistics Canada released the April CPI data this morning, showing a smaller-than-expected rise in headline inflation. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 2.8% y/y in April, up from 2.4% in March. Higher energy prices, particularly gasoline, drove the acceleration. In April, energy…

Housing Activity Strengthened in April As The Month Progressed The number of home sales recorded on Canadian MLS® Systems was up 0.7% month over month in April 2026. According to Shaun Cathcart, Senior Economist with the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), “While home sales were up only modestly from March to April, the small increase…

Weak Jobs Report in April drives Unemployment Rate Up to 6.9% Employment in Canada edged down by 17,700 in April, following a 14,000 gain in the prior month, missing the consensus forecast for a 15,000 increase. On a year-over-year basis, employment in April was up by 67,000 (+0.3%), but recorded a net decline of 112,000 (-0.5%) over the first…

Bank of Canada Holds Policy Rate Steady Today, the Bank of Canada once again held the policy rate steady at 2.25%. This is the bottom of the Bank’s estimate of the neutral overnight rate, where monetary policy is neither expansionary nor contractionary. With inflation hovering at 2.4% and core inflation falling to 2.0%, the Governing…

Canadian Inflation Surges to 2.4% Y/Y on Oil Price Shock   The headline inflation rate in Canada surged as expected with the War in Iran and the resulting oil price shock. The inflation rate hit 2.4%, up from 1.8% in February, tying for the highest in a year but a bit below market expectations of 2.5%. The…